Match Info

GFA League - Round 22

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday


	Falcons		Armed Forces

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	5.25
	2.02	3.08	3.51
	1.84	3.48	3.9	Watch
	1.91	3.3	3.92	Watch
	1.62	3.15	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.87)	3.24 ↑ (2.9)	4.48 ↑ (4.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falcons
51%

Draw
28.4%

Armed Forces
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

30.9%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

30%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Armed Forces has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falcons than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Armed Forces than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Falcons - Armed Forces Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Falcons will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Armed Forces will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Armed Forces (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Ceesay M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
67', 2 - 1, Nije M. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 14 in the zone GFA League (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falcons won 1.

Recent performances by Falcons have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Armed Forces's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Armed Forces has had a series of away games.

In this match, Falcons is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Falcons won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Falcons won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falcons FC Gambia
Gambian GFA League
29.05.25	Greater Tomorrow - Falcons	0:1 ✺
25.05.25	BST Galaxy - Falcons	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Banjul United - Falcons	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Falcons - Bombada	0:0 ✺
28.04.25	Banjul Hawks - Falcons	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWTT
- Armed Forces FC
Gambian GFA League
22.05.25	Brikama United - Armed Forces	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	TMT - Armed Forces	1:1 ✺
29.04.25	BST Galaxy - Armed Forces	1:1 ✺
25.04.25	Greater Tomorrow - Armed Forces	1:0 ✺
10.04.25	Armed Forces - Bombada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Gambian GFA League
14.12.24	Armed Forces - Falcons	1:0
26.04.24	Falcons - Armed Forces	3:1
09.02.24	Armed Forces - Falcons	2:1
19.05.23	Armed Forces - Falcons	1:0
13.01.23	Falcons - Armed Forces	1:1
23.04.22	Armed Forces - Falcons	3:2
17.12.21	Falcons - Armed Forces	5:3

Falcons - Armed Forces: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide