Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 23

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday


	Arnedo		Mutilvera

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.1	1.87
	4.3	3.3	1.78
	4.16	3.34	1.88
	4.2	3.16	1.88
	3.7	3.3	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↑ (2.75)	3.24 ↑ (3)	1.86 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnedo
22.8%

Draw
28.2%

Mutilvera
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

30.2%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

30.9%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arnedo's form might have worsened.

Mutilvera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mutilvera's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arnedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mutilvera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arnedo - Mutilvera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Arnedo is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Mutilvera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mutilvera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnedo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arnedo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.02.23	San Juan - Arnedo	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Arnedo - Alavés B	0:4 ✺
05.02.23	Gernika - Arnedo	4:0 ✺
29.01.23	Arnedo - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	UD Logroñés Promesas - Arnedo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLTL
- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
18.02.23	Mutilvera - Brea	4:1 ✺
12.02.23	Cirbonero - Mutilvera	1:0 ✺
04.02.23	Mutilvera - Beasain	3:0 ✺
28.01.23	Mutilvera - San Juan	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Alavés B - Mutilvera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
08.10.22	Mutilvera - Arnedo	0:3

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