The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gernika 63.4%
Draw 22.4%
Arnedo 14.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.3%
22.7%
10.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72%
20.9%
10%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gernika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Gernika - Arnedo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Gernika is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Arnedo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Gernika could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Gernika is indisputable favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Gernika won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.