Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga NOFV- Sud - Round 27

Date: 11 May 2024, Saturday


	Arnstadt		Ludwigsfelde

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.87
	3.52	4.02	1.83
	3.53	3.83	1.87
	3.65	3.65	1.88
	3.5	3.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↓ (5.11)	3.74 ↓ (4.14)	1.86 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnstadt
26%

Draw
24.6%

Ludwigsfelde
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.1%

22.4%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

19.8%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arnstadt's performance.

Ludwigsfelde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ludwigsfelde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnstadt than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arnstadt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludwigsfelde than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Barthel V. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Scheuring L. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Scheuring L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
56', 3 - 1, Eirich A. ⚽,
61', 4 - 1, Hertel B. ⚽,
66', 4 - 2, Bache L. ⚽,
87', 4 - 3, Bache J. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Arnstadt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ludwigsfelde is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnstadt won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV 09 Arnstadt
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
03.05.24	Auerbach - Arnstadt	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Arnstadt - Plauen	0:2 ✺
21.04.24	Halle - Arnstadt	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Arnstadt - Einheit Wernigerode	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Motor Marienberg - Arnstadt	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLLW
- Ludwigsfelder FC
German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
04.05.24	Ludwigsfelde - Plauen	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Einheit Wernigerode - Ludwigsfelde	2:1 ✺
20.04.24	Ludwigsfelde - Grimma	2:2 ✺
14.04.24	Germania Halberstadt - Ludwigsfelde	2:0 ✺
06.04.24	Ludwigsfelde - Freital	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga NOFV- Süd
04.11.23	Ludwigsfelde - Arnstadt	2:2

Arnstadt - Ludwigsfelde: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide