The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arosa 30%
Draw 28.2%
Bergantiños 41.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.7%
26.8%
46.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.4%
25.5%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bergantiños could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Arosa - Bergantiños Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 1 - 0, Maceira J. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Ankudinov D. ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, Ankudinov D. ⚽,
90+7', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting the league leader (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 1st in the Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Arosa (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Bergantiños shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Bergantiños is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Arosa has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:14 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arosa against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 6:9 goals (averaging 1.2:1.8 per game).
Watch
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