Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 7

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday


	Arroyo		CD Extremadura

	1	X	2
	3.86	3.15	1.89
	3.96	3.27	1.89	Watch
	3.86	3.28	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↑ (3.03)	3.23 ↑ (3.18)	1.88 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arroyo
23.4%

Draw
28.2%

CD Extremadura
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

28.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

28.1%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arroyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arroyo's form might have worsened.

CD Extremadura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CD Extremadura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arroyo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arroyo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for CD Extremadura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arroyo - CD Extremadura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Bernal J. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Abdul A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 1 - 3, Callejon J. ⚽,
68', 1 - 4, Diaz D. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arroyo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
13.10.24	Arroyo - Jaraíz	4:3 ✺
06.10.24	Badajoz - Arroyo	3:0 ✺
29.09.24	Llerenense - Arroyo	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Arroyo - Olivenza	4:2 ✺
07.09.24	Arroyo - Santa Amalia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLWW
- CD Extremadura
Spanish Copa Federacion
09.10.24	CD Extremadura - Cieza	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
06.10.24	CD Extremadura - Olivenza	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
02.10.24	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
29.09.24	Jerez - CD Extremadura	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
25.09.24	CD Extremadura - Príncipe Alfonso	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTW

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