Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	CD Extremadura		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.95	2.87
	2.18	2.98	3.15
	2.27	3.05	3.37
	2.64	2.92	2.78	Watch
	2.22	3.18	3.18
	2.28	3	2.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.4)	3.01 ↓ (3.05)	3.05 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CD Extremadura
39.6%

Draw
30.3%

UCAM Murcia
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.8%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

28.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CD Extremadura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Julito ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Frodo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Julito ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Imanol Barce ⚽,
90+4', Villajos M. 🟥,

Preview

Extremadura is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

UCAM Murcia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Extremadura won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Including home match between the teams, Extremadura won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Extremadura
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	Águilas - CD Extremadura	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	CD Extremadura - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Real Jaén - CD Extremadura	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	CD Extremadura - Atlético Malagueño	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Badajoz - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWWT
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	UCAM Murcia - Antoniano	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Puente Genil - UCAM Murcia	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	UCAM Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	2:1 ✺
07.09.25	Melilla - UCAM Murcia	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	UCAM Murcia - Hércules	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa Federacion
02.10.24	CD Extremadura - UCAM Murcia	2:1 ET

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