Match Info

WSL - Round 15

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Emirates Stadium (London)

Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 4, W-sport
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	W-Sport Asia
Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	W-sport
Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping
Canada	SportsNet 1, Sportsnet+
Chile	Disney+, ESPN 3
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	SportKlub 4
France	Molotov TV, W-Sport
Germany	DF1, Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, Now Player, NOW Sports 5
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Kenya	Gotv
Laos	beIN Connect
Luxembourg	W-Sport
Malaysia	beIN Sports 2, Canal+
Mexico	FOX One
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	W-Sport, Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	Sky Sport 7
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport OTT 4
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	W-Sport
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 4
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	SVT Play, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	W-Sport
United-kingdom	Sky Go, Sky Showcase, Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Onefootball, Sport 24


	Arsenal LFC		Manchester City

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.4
	2.42	3.3	2.52
	2.48	3.7	2.56
	2.46	3.71	2.54	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.5	3.5	2.6
	2.54	3.4	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.22)	3.5 ↑ (3.37)	2.51 ↓ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal LFC
37%

Draw
26.3%

Manchester City
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

27.2%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.7%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manchester City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal LFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Manchester City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arsenal LFC - Manchester City Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Manchester City (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Manchester City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. van Domselaar D. (G) 2. Fox E. 3. Wubben-Moy C. 7. Catley S. 11. McCabe K. 10. Little K. (C) 8. Caldentey M. 9. Mead B. 23. Russo A. 19. Foord C. 15. Smith O.	31. Yamashita A. (G) 18. Casparij K. 4. Rose J. 27. Knaak R. 5. Greenwood A. (C) 19. Blindkilde L. 25. Hasegawa Y. 14. Kerolin 10. Miedema V. 11. Hemp L. 9. Shaw K.
Substitutes
5. Codina L. 44. Harwood S. 31. Holmberg S. 18. Kelly C. 12. Leonhardsen-Maanum F. 21. Pelova V. 13. Votikova B. (G) 40. Williams N. (G) 6. Williamson L.	24. Beney I. 6. Clinton G. 17. Coffey S. 7. Coombs L. 35. Keating K. (G) 22. Lohmann S. 46. Murphy L. 15. Ouahabi L. 28. Prior G.
Coaches
Slegers R.	Jeglertz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Smith O. ⚽, Caldentey M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Blindkilde L. ↓, Coffey S. ↑,
68', Mead B. ↓, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ↑,
73', Kerolin ↓, Beney I. ↑,
80', van Domselaar D. 🟨,
84', McCabe K. ↓, Holmberg S. ↑,
84', Catley S. ↓, Williamson L. ↑,
84', Smith O. ↓, Kelly C. ↑,
89', Caldentey M. ↓, Codina L. ↑,
90+6', Miedema V. ↓, Clinton G. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Arsenal LFC has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Arsenal LFC: Reid K. (Knee Injury) Zinsberger M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Manchester City: Davies M. (Knee Injury) Layzell N. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal LFC won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:11. (average 1.5:0.9).

Outrights of English WSL for now

Manchester City W: 26.81% Arsenal W: 14.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City W	5	5	0	0	16:6	10	15
10	Arsenal W	5	1	2	2	4:6	-2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal LFC
FIFA Womens Champions Cup
01.02.26	Arsenal LFC - Corinthians	3:2 ET ✺
28.01.26	Arsenal LFC - FAR Rabat	6:0 ✺
English WSL
24.01.26	Chelsea - Arsenal LFC	0:2 ✺
English League Cup Women
21.01.26	Arsenal LFC - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup Women
18.01.26	Arsenal LFC - Aston Villa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWLW
- Manchester City WFC
English WSL
01.02.26	Manchester City - Chelsea	5:1 ✺
25.01.26	London City Lionesses - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
English League Cup Women
21.01.26	Manchester City - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup Women
18.01.26	AFC Bournemouth - Manchester City	0:6 ✺
English WSL
11.01.26	Manchester City - Everton	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English WSL
04.10.25	Manchester City - Arsenal LFC	3:2
English League Cup Women
06.02.25	Arsenal LFC - Manchester City	1:2
English WSL
02.02.25	Manchester City - Arsenal LFC	3:4
22.09.24	Arsenal LFC - Manchester City	2:2
05.05.24	Manchester City - Arsenal LFC	1:2
English FA Cup Women
11.02.24	Arsenal LFC - Manchester City	0:1
English WSL
05.11.23	Arsenal LFC - Manchester City	2:1

Arsenal LFC - Manchester City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide