Match Info

Women’s FA Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Emirates Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Channel 4, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1


	Arsenal LFC		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	1.29	4.85	7.9
	1.19	7.38	9.67	Watch
	1.3	4.75	8.5
	1.24	5	10.7
	1.28	5.33	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↑ (1.12)	5.46 ↓ (6.55)	8.95 ↓ (14.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal LFC
72.9%

Draw
16.8%

Aston Villa
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.2%

13.7%

6.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal LFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal LFC's form might have worsened.

Aston Villa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Arsenal LFC - Aston Villa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Borbe A. (G) 2. Fox E. 3. Wubben-Moy C. 7. Catley S. 11. McCabe K. 10. Little K. (C) 8. Caldentey M. 9. Mead B. 23. Russo A. 15. Smith O. 25. Blackstenius S.	26. Roebuck E. (G) 16. Maritz N. 4. Patten A. 15. Parker L. 14. Wilms L. 5. Staniforth L. 25. Taylor M. 38. Maltby R. 7. Kearns M. (C) 13. Hijikata M. 20. Hanson K.
Substitutes
5. Codina L. 19. Foord C. 44. Harwood S. 24. Hinds T. 31. Holmberg S. 12. Leonhardsen-Maanum F. 53. Liddiard A. (G) 21. Pelova V. 40. Williams N. (G)	1. D'Angelo S. (G) 24. Deslandes O. 6. Jean-Francois O. 46. Lea P. 18. Mullet G. 22. Sallaway L. 17. Salmon E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Fox E. ↓, Holmberg S. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Maltby R. ↓, Deslandes O. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Blackstenius S. ⚽, Little K. (A),
62', 2 - 0, Little K. ⚽,
63', Kearns M. ↓, Mullet G. ↑,
63', Staniforth L. ↓, Jean-Francois O. ↑,
64', Jean-Francois O. 🟨,
71', Maritz N. ↓, Salmon E. ↑,
71', Russo A. ↓, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ↑,
71', Smith O. ↓, Foord C. ↑,
82', Little K. ↓, Pelova V. ↑,
82', Caldentey M. ↓, Codina L. ↑,
90+2', Parker L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 3.

Arsenal LFC has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Aston Villa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arsenal LFC is the clear favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Arsenal LFC won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:11. (average 2.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arsenal LFC won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:4. (average 2.6:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal LFC
English WSL
10.01.26	Arsenal LFC - Manchester United	0:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
21.12.25	Crystal Palace - Arsenal LFC	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
17.12.25	Leuven - Arsenal LFC	0:3 ✺
English WSL
13.12.25	Everton - Arsenal LFC	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
09.12.25	Arsenal LFC - Twente	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWWW
- Aston Villa LFC
English WSL
11.01.26	Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Manchester City - Aston Villa	6:1 ✺
11.12.25	Aston Villa - Liverpool LFC	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
21.11.25	Aston Villa - Birmingham City LFC	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English WSL
27.09.25	Arsenal LFC - Aston Villa	1:1
30.04.25	Aston Villa - Arsenal LFC	5:2
08.12.24	Arsenal LFC - Aston Villa	4:0
24.03.24	Aston Villa - Arsenal LFC	1:3
English League Cup Women
06.03.24	Arsenal LFC - Aston Villa	4:0
English WSL
15.10.23	Arsenal LFC - Aston Villa	2:1
27.05.23	Arsenal LFC - Aston Villa	0:2

Arsenal LFC - Aston Villa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide