Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 22

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Julio Humberto Grondona (Avellaneda)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Arsenal Sarandí		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.75	2.55	Watch
	3	2.7	2.5
	3.45	2.72	2.3	Watch
	3.31	2.81	2.56
				Watch
	3.1	2.7	2.5
	3.65	2.67	2.31
	3.15	2.85	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.63)	2.74 ↓ (3.1)	2.44 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí
28.4%

Draw
33.8%

Racing de Córdoba
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

29.8%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

28.8%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arsenal Sarandí's form might have worsened.

Racing de Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	21.4%	64.3%

Arsenal Sarandí - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Arsenal Sarandí will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Racing de Córdoba will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing de Córdoba: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing de Córdoba (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pourtau J. (G) 4. Vera M. 2. Roselli N. 6. Cocca M. 3. Serrano V. 8. Trombini M. 5. Ayala A. 11. Batista A. 10. Lucero M. 7. Gonzalez T. 9. Sabatini I.	1. Maslovski M. (G) 4. Ghiggia F. 2. Calderon E. 6. Ferrero G. 3. Fernandez L. 8. Castro T. 5. Rostagno G. 10. Monticelli F. 7. Monti L. 11. Sanchez N. 9. Chavarria P.
Substitutes
13. Amaya A. 18. Bordagaray F. 14. Colletta T. 17. Frascone N. 19. Klusener G. 12. Mekbel F. (G) 15. Purita E. 16. Rius C. 20. Sayago D.	13. Albarracin M. 15. Chamorro R. 16. Churchi S. 14. Flores L. 20. Gonzalez S. 18. Gutierrez M. 17. Machado M. 19. Marfort S. 12. Rougier J.
Coaches
Franco D.	Medina H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Sanchez N. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
15', 1 - 0, Calderon E. (Own goal),
29', 1 - 1, Castro T. ⚽,
44', Ferrero G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Monticelli F. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
50', 2 - 1, Roselli N. ⚽,
59', Fernandez L. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
59', Monti L. ↓, Machado M. ↑,
60', Lucero M. 🟨,
64', Juarez A. ↓, Colletta T. ↑,
64', Batista A. ↓, Rius C. ↑,
70', Lucero M. ↓, Bordagaray F. ↑,
74', Ghiggia F. ↓, Churchi S. ↑,
78', Vera M. ↓, Purita E. ↑,
78', Sabatini I. ↓, Sayago D. ↑,
87', Roselli N. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Racing de Córdoba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Arsenal Sarandí has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2.7).

Including home match between the teams, Arsenal Sarandí won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.07.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Arsenal Sarandí	4:0 ✺
28.06.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Colegiales	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Los Andes - Arsenal Sarandí	1:3 ✺
15.06.25	All Boys - Arsenal Sarandí	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Alvarado - Arsenal Sarandí	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LLWLW
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.07.25	Racing de Córdoba - All Boys	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Alvarado - Racing de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
20.06.25	Racing de Córdoba - Deportivo Madryn	2:3 ✺
14.06.25	Deportivo Maipú - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Racing de Córdoba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.03.25	Racing de Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	3:0
19.10.24	Racing de Córdoba - Arsenal Sarandí	3:1
31.05.24	Arsenal Sarandí - Racing de Córdoba	0:2

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