Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 17

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)

Referee: Macheroni M. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Gimnasia y Tiro		Racing de Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.9	3.5	Watch
	2.35	2.65	3.4
	2.47	2.6	3.45	Watch
	2.54	2.65	3.58
	2.52	2.58	3.56	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.7
	2.48	2.54	3.5	Watch
	2.47	2.6	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.32)	2.65 ↓ (3.05)	3.52 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
38.4%

Draw
35.1%

Racing de Córdoba
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

30.7%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

29.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Racing de Córdoba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing de Córdoba than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	77.8%	0%

Gimnasia y Tiro - Racing de Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 64.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Racing de Córdoba (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro (votes: 2 - 40%). Racing de Córdoba (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Abadia F. (G) 4. Chaves I. F. 2. Guanini M. 6. Diaz G. 3. Villarreal R. 8. Galetto J. 5. Birge M. 10. Busse W. 11. Rinaldi N. 7. Heredia F. 9. Contin N.	1. Mattalia J. (G) 4. Chamorro R. 2. Albarracin M. 6. Perales V. 3. Ferrero G. 8. Machado M. 5. Rostagno G. 10. Diaz G. 11. Fernandez L. 7. Vignolo J. 9. Villegas L.
Substitutes
16. Borquez T. 12. Cosentino F. (G) 15. Keko 17. Mendez J. 13. Monti I. 20. Morello M. 18. Pantoja C. 19. Sivetti F. 14. Tallura A.	20. Barrios L. 14. Churchi S. 16. Gutierrez M. 19. Marfort S. 12. Maslovski M. (G) 17. Monticelli F. 18. Monti L. 13. Olivera W. 15. Sanchez N.
Coaches
Quiroz F.	Arzubialde H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Contin N. ⚽,
16', Birge M. 🟨,
27', 2 - 0, Chaves I. F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chamorro R. ↓, Sanchez N. ↑,
46', Machado M. ↓, Monticelli F. ↑,
46', Diaz G. ↓, Monti L. ↑,
50', Albarracin M. 🟨,
53', Galetto J. 🟨,
68', Busse W. ↓, Sivetti F. ↑,
68', Contin N. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
76', Rinaldi N. 🟨,
80', Rinaldi N. ↓, Morello M. ↑,
80', Fernandez L. ↓, Barrios L. ↑,
90+2', Galetto J. ↓, Keko ↑,
90+2', Heredia F. ↓, Monti I. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Gimnasia y Tiro could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia y Tiro won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
24.05.25	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - Colegiales	4:0 ✺
09.05.25	Arsenal Sarandí - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - All Boys	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWTTL
- Racing de Córdoba
Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.05.25	Racing de Córdoba - Tristán Suárez	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Racing de Córdoba - Güemes	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Patronato Parana - Racing de Córdoba	3:2 ✺
27.04.25	Racing de Córdoba - Ferro Carril Oeste	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
16.10.22	Racing de Córdoba - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:1
03.07.22	Gimnasia y Tiro - Racing de Córdoba	1:1
29.08.21	Gimnasia y Tiro - Racing de Córdoba	0:0
09.05.21	Racing de Córdoba - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0

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