Match Info

ARGENTINA: RESERVE LEAGUE - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 16

Date: 11 May 2023, Thursday


	Arsenal Sarandí 2		Newells Old Boys 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.6
	2.6	2.95	2.6
	2.53	3.02	2.75
	2.5	2.88	2.75
	2.52	3.13	2.72	Watch
	2.44	3.05	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.23)	3 ↓ (3.13)	2.7 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Sarandí 2
36.1%

Draw
30.2%

Newells Old Boys 2
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Sarandí 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Sarandí 2 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arsenal Sarandí 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Newells Old Boys 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 18 and 16).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arsenal Sarandí 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Arsenal Sarandí 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Sarandí 2
Argentinian Reserve League
05.05.23	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	0:2 ✺
30.04.23	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	2:1 ✺
22.04.23	Unión Santa Fe 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Sarmiento de Junín 2	0:1 ✺
12.04.23	Godoy Cruz 2 - Arsenal Sarandí 2	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWLLL
- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
04.05.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Tigre 2	4:0 ✺
28.04.23	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:0 ✺
21.04.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	0:0 ✺
16.04.23	River Plate 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:1 ✺
11.04.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Racing Club 2	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
03.10.22	Arsenal Sarandí 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:2

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