Match Info

ARGENTINA: Reserve League - Second stage - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 5 December 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play, TNT Sports
United-kingdom	TNT Sports


	River Plate 2		Newells Old Boys 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.08	3.15	3.3
	2.16	3.2	3.23
	2.1	3.22	3.31
	2.2	3	3.25
	2.09	3.15	3.31
	2.08	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.8)	3.14 ↓ (3.33)	3.26 ↓ (4.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

River Plate 2
43%

Draw
29%

Newells Old Boys 2
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

27.3%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

26.5%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

River Plate 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate 2's form might have worsened.

Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newells Old Boys 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate 2 than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newells Old Boys 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Serrago T. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Nasif T. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Perez Tica J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', 2 - 2, Perez Tica J. ⚽,
55', 3 - 2, Leiva T. (Pen),
67', 4 - 2, Obregon A. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Second stage ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Second stage ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

River Plate 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

River Plate 2 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches River Plate 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams River Plate 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- River Plate 2
Argentinian Reserve League
28.11.24	River Plate 2 - Rosario Central 2	2:0 ✺
16.11.24	River Plate 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Rosario Central 2 - River Plate 2	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	River Plate 2 - Belgrano 2	3:1 ✺
17.10.24	Banfield 2 - River Plate 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL
- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
27.11.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente 2	4:0 ✺
15.11.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Boca Juniors 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:0 ✺
23.10.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	3:2 ✺
16.10.24	Independiente 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
16.04.23	River Plate 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:1
11.08.22	Newells Old Boys 2 - River Plate 2	2:0
19.02.22	Newells Old Boys 2 - River Plate 2	1:2

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