Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, LPF Play, TNT Sports


	Newells Old Boys 2		Belgrano 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.98	3.2
	2.16	3	3.65
	2.25	2.92	3.34	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.14	3.23	3.44
	2.38	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.38)	3 ↑ (2.95)	3.28 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys 2
41.7%

Draw
30.5%

Belgrano 2
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

30.2%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

28.2%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Belgrano 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano 2 than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys 2 won 3.

Newells Old Boys 2 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Belgrano 2 has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Newells Old Boys 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Newells Old Boys 2 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Newells Old Boys 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Newells Old Boys 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
18.03.26	Lanús 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Colón Santa Fe 2	1:0 ✺
17.02.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	1:0 ✺
12.02.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:0 ✺
03.02.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWTL
- Belgrano 2
Argentinian Reserve League
17.03.26	Belgrano 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:4 ✺
04.03.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 - Belgrano 2	0:0 ✺
18.02.26	Belgrano 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Ferro 2 - Belgrano 2	3:0 ✺
04.02.26	Belgrano 2 - Boca Juniors 2	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
10.09.25	Belgrano 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:1
10.04.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	0:1
15.11.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	2:1
09.06.24	Belgrano 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:1
29.08.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	1:0
21.04.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	0:0

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