Match Info

Reserve League - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 14 August 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Vélez Sársfield 2		Independiente 2

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.3
	1.95	3.3	3.35
	2.12	3.53	3.15
	2.24	3.07	3.24	Watch
	2.08	3.18	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2)	3.26 ↓ (3.52)	3.27 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield 2
44.1%

Draw
28%

Independiente 2
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

26.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

The chances for Independiente 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Diaz M. ⚽,
57', Bruno M. 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 4.

Recent performances by Vélez 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vélez 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vélez 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vélez 2 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Vélez 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
08.08.25	San Lorenzo 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	Ferro 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	2:2 ✺
30.07.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Instituto 2	0:0 ✺
22.07.25	Platense 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Vélez Sársfield 2 - San Lorenzo 2	3:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTTW
- CA Independiente 2
Argentinian Reserve League
06.08.25	Independiente 2 - River Plate 2	0:0 ✺
29.07.25	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Independiente 2	1:0 ✺
23.07.25	Independiente 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	1:0 ✺
15.07.25	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Independiente 2	2:2 ✺
28.05.25	Rosario Central 2 - Independiente 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
21.03.25	Independiente 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:2
08.06.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente 2	1:0
12.12.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente 2	1:0
22.08.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente 2	4:1
11.02.23	Independiente 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:1
26.08.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente 2	0:1
20.02.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Independiente 2	0:0

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