Match Info

Prva Crnogorska Liga - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion u Parku (Tivat)


	Arsenal Tivat		Sutjeska

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.10	1.83
	4.00	3.05	1.82
	4.48	3.21	1.88
	4.26	3.21	1.85	Watch
	4.40	3.15	1.82
	4.14	3.31	1.86
	4.50	3.40	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.25 ↑ (3.75)	3.2 ↑ (3.08)	1.82 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal Tivat
21.4%

Draw
28.4%

Sutjeska
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

29.4%

46.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23%

28%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal Tivat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Sutjeska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal Tivat than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutjeska than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Arsenal Tivat - Sutjeska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Zogovic B. (C) 88. Abdullahi A. 16. Kascelan V. 15. Malisic P. 77. Mandic S. 2. Maras M. 5. Petovic G. 8. Sahman I. 23. Sesay S. 9. Vukcevic I. 26. Zivanovic M.	12. Djurovic T. (G) 72. Babic A. (C) 7. Boljevic A. 11. Cavor V. 21. Cetkovic D. 2. Golubovic A. 6. Hocko D. 15. Kopitovic B. 22. Raznatovic A. 77. Simun M. 10. Toskovic B.
Substitutes
12. Bozinovic I. (G) 19. Djukanovic M. 24. Erakovic N. 7. Golub A. 4. Kaneda R. 27. Kralj A. 99. Labovic S. 97. Lazarevic N. 98. Petrovic L.	9. Anicic P. 50. Brnovic M. 3. Camara M. 44. Dedic R. 25. Djukanovic M. 1. Giljen V. (G) 30. Kecojevic A. 99. Mrvaljevic M. 5. Pajovic I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 0 - 2, ⚽,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', 🟨,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 10th in the Relegation ~ Druga Liga and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal Tivat won 0.

Recent results have been tough for Arsenal Tivat (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Sutjeska shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Sutjeska could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Sutjeska carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal Tivat has recorded 2 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:28 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arsenal Tivat against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:9 goals (averaging 0.8:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sutjeska	9	4	2	3	11:7	4	14
10	Arsenal Tivat	9	1	4	4	5:11	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal Tivat
Montenegrin First League
14.09.26	Petrovac - Arsenal Tivat	1:2 ✺
10.09.26	Arsenal Tivat - Mladost Donja Gorica	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Jezero - Arsenal Tivat	5:2 ✺
30.08.26	Arsenal Tivat - Otrant	1:2 ✺
16.08.26	Arsenal Tivat - Budućnost Podgorica	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WLLLT
- Sutjeska FK
Montenegrin First League
13.09.26	Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Sutjeska - Mornar Bar	1:0 ✺
04.09.26	Petrovac - Sutjeska	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Sutjeska - Mladost Donja Gorica	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Jezero - Sutjeska	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Montenegrin First League
09.05.26	Arsenal Tivat - Sutjeska	1:1
11.03.26	Sutjeska - Arsenal Tivat	4:1
Club Friendly
24.01.26	Sutjeska - Arsenal Tivat	3:0
Montenegrin First League
09.11.25	Arsenal Tivat - Sutjeska	0:0
13.09.25	Sutjeska - Arsenal Tivat	2:0
26.04.25	Arsenal Tivat - Sutjeska	1:1
02.03.25	Sutjeska - Arsenal Tivat	2:0

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