The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sutjeska 37.6%
Draw 30.5%
Mornar Bar 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
29.9%
32.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
30.3%
32.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sutjeska has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutjeska than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Sutjeska - Mornar Bar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Djurovic T. (G) 9. Anicic P. 72. Babic A. 20. Cadjenovic J. 3. Camara M. 11. Cavor V. 2. Golubovic A. 6. Hocko D. 15. Kopitovic B. 22. Raznatovic A. 10. Toskovic B.
13. Stojanovic V. (G) 15. Baosic J. 5. Dakic D. 17. Dasic J. 4. Kaludjerovic A. 6. Martinovic I. 10. Skrijelj D. 9. Soussi A. 33. Stijepovic N. 97. Vukcevic P. 11. Yao Y.
Substitutes
7. Boljevic A. 8. Campbell K. 21. Cetkovic D. 44. Dedic R. 25. Djukanovic M. 1. Giljen V. (G) 30. Kecojevic A. 99. Mrvaljevic M. 4. Vracar M.
3. Cukovic M. 8. Djurisic M. 99. Dragovic V. 23. Dubljevic B. 1. Dubljevic R. (G) 30. Hajdarpasic E. 20. Medojevic N. 16. Mitrovic F. 21. Rovcanin M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Hocko D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
74', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutjeska won 2.
Sutjeska has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Mornar Bar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sutjeska won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Sutjeska won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Sutjeska
10
4
3
3
11:7
4
15
6
Mornar Bar
10
3
5
2
12:10
2
14
Last Results with these Odds
Sutjeska - the odds 2.47 are the expected chance of winning is 37.55%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Mornar Bar - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.54%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.