Match Info

1. MFL - Round 10

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Arsimi		Tikveš

	1	X	2
	4.60	4.00	1.55
	5.3	4.15	1.45
	4.85	4.25	1.41
	4.95	3.95	1.45
	4.87	4.44	1.54
	6	4.8	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (4)	4.27 ↑ (3.75)	1.46 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsimi
17.6%

Draw
21%

Tikveš
61.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.3%

23.8%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

23%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsimi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Tikveš has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tikveš's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsimi than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tikveš than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tikveš, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Arsimi - Tikveš Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tikveš will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Siljanovski D. (G) 21. Aliti A. 16. Dardhishta M. (C) 2. Dzemaili S. 9. Gaye E. 5. Goni M. 44. Iljazi A. 15. Jusufi F. 7. Kaba L. 33. Mislimi M. 4. Mustafa S.	1. Stevkovski H. (G) 34. Ackovski K. 2. Camara F. 4. Fall I. 22. Lawal T. 15. Nikolovski T. 6. Ramadani B. 74. Renatinho 11. Sylla N. 21. Varelovski A. (C) 23. Wisdom O.
Substitutes
88. Ademi D. 22. Doshev G. 10. Gafuri A. 55. Gueye E. 13. Jankov R. (G) 29. Olaosebikan I. 11. Ramadani A. 20. Ribaudo S. 77. Vebi I. 23. Velija B. 3. Zuka F.	25. Chajani S. 44. Dimeski A. 80. Elmas M. 7. Lucianinho 99. Lukman Oluvadamilare A. 24. Popzlatanov J. 8. Rakipi O. 3. Sekirski S. 17. Spasov G. 12. Trajkovski A. (G) 32. Vlajkovic N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
38', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', 🟨,
48', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
76', 🟨,
84', 🟨,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 8th in the 1. MFL (Relegation) and 4th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

Arsimi has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Tikveš is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this matchup, Tikveš is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Arsimi has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:16 (averaging 1.4:3.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arsimi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:7 goals (averaging 0.5:3.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Tikves	11	5	5	1	24:9	15	20
8	Arsimi	11	2	4	5	11:25	-14	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Arsimi
North Macedonian 1 MFL
10.10.26	Arsimi - Sileks	1:1 ✺
North Macedonian Cup
24.09.26	Mogila - Arsimi	0:12 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
21.09.26	Struga - Arsimi	6:0 ✺
11.09.26	Arsimi - Shkendija Tetovo	2:2 ✺
07.09.26	Vardar - Arsimi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLTL
- GFK Tikveš
North Macedonian 1 MFL
10.10.26	Tikveš - Bregalnica Štip	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Rabotnički - Tikveš	1:1 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
18.09.26	Sileks - Tikveš	0:0 ✺
11.09.26	Tikveš - Struga	2:2 ✺
04.09.26	Shkendija Tetovo - Tikveš	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
24.07.26	Tikveš - Arsimi	5:1
03.05.26	Tikveš - Arsimi	1:1
04.03.26	Arsimi - Tikveš	0:5
24.10.25	Tikveš - Arsimi	3:4
North Macedonian Cup
20.09.23	Arsimi - Tikveš	1:2

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