Match Info

1. MFL - Round 6

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: National Arena Toshe Proeski (Skopje)


	Vardar		Arsimi

	1	X	2
	1.05	12.00	21.00
	1.07	7.90	15.50
	1.08	7.83	11.04
	1.08	7.50	13.00
	1.08	10.80	16.80
	1.05	9.00	22.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.16)	9.17 ↑ (5.48)	16.56 ↓ (16.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vardar
84.7%

Draw
9.9%

Arsimi
5.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.1%

16.5%

5.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vardar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vardar's performance.

Arsimi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vardar - Arsimi Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vardar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Vardar (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vardar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Taleski D. (G) 6. Babunski D. 49. Danev D. 21. Jankulov G. 3. Manevski M. 4. Matic M. 5. Najdovski F. 8. Nikolov B. 9. Omeragic A. (C) 17. Spahiu E. 10. Zakaric G.	99. Siljanovski D. (G) 21. Aliti A. 9. Contreras D. 16. Dardhishta M. (C) 2. Dzemaili S. 5. Goni M. 18. Iljazi A. 15. Jusufi F. 7. Kaba L. 17. Mislimi M. 8. Olaosebikan I.
Substitutes
88. Bosancic N. 32. Castaneda D. 27. Cvetkovski F. 14. Diabate S. 1. Dikovski D. (G) 42. Hasani I. 30. Jakov O. 2. Jevtoski H. 31. Markovski I. 34. Puleio I. 22. Todorovski D.	13. Ademi D. 6. Cuculi A. 22. Doshev G. 10. Gafuri A. 12. Jankov R. (G) 19. Memeti S. 4. Mustafa S. 11. Ramadani A. 20. Ribaudo S. 23. Velija B. 3. Zuka F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
29', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 🟨,
53', 🟨,
83', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+12', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+15', 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 7).

Vardar has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arsimi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vardar is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Vardar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vardar won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Vardar	8	4	2	2	14:8	6	14
8	Arsimi	8	2	2	4	6:19	-13	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Vardar
North Macedonian 1 MFL
31.08.26	Tikveš - Vardar	1:1 ✺
24.08.26	Vardar - Sileks	4:1 ✺
16.08.26	Struga - Vardar	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.26	Riga - Vardar	5:2 ET ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
25.07.26	Vardar - Bregalnica Štip	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TWLLW
- KF Arsimi
North Macedonian 1 MFL
29.08.26	Arsimi - Skopje	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Shkëndija Haraçinë - Arsimi	0:2 ✺
24.07.26	Tikveš - Arsimi	5:1 ✺
23.05.26	Arsimi - Struga	1:0 ✺
15.05.26	Sileks - Arsimi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

North Macedonian 1 MFL
21.03.26	Arsimi - Vardar	1:0
11.02.26	Vardar - Arsimi	5:1
18.09.25	Arsimi - Vardar	1:4
North Macedonian 2 MFL
18.02.23	Vardar - Arsimi	1:1

Vardar - Arsimi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide