Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CARIOCA 2 - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday


	Artsul		Sampaio Corrêa FE

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.11	3.02	3.49
	1.87	3.36	3.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.4)	3.16 ↑ (3)	3.54 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Artsul
45.4%

Draw
28.9%

Sampaio Corrêa FE
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

29.9%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

32%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Artsul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Artsul's performance.

Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sampaio Corrêa FE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Artsul than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Artsul that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Artsul - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Carioca 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Recent matches Artsul is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampaio Corrêa FE is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Artsul won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Artsul FC
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
02.08.23	Macaé - Artsul	1:4 ✺
15.07.23	Artsul - Cabofriense	0:0 ✺
08.07.23	Olaria - Artsul	1:1 ✺
01.07.23	Artsul - Araruama	3:2 ✺
28.06.23	Resende - Artsul	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTTWL
- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
02.08.23	Sampaio Corrêa FE - America RJ	4:3 ✺
15.07.23	Americano Rio de Janeiro - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
08.07.23	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Petrópolis	1:0 ✺
01.07.23	Macaé - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Olaria	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
21.05.22	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Artsul	1:1
07.08.21	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Artsul	1:2
19.09.20	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Artsul	1:1

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