Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday


	Arucas		Estrella

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.1
	1.59	3.65	5
	1.74	3.48	4.4	Watch
	1.64	3.86	4.96
	1.59	3.65	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)	4.69 ↑ (4.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arucas
55.2%

Draw
25.3%

Estrella
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

28.7%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Estrella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrella than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Arucas - Estrella Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,
90+2', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Arucas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Estrella is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Estrella could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arucas is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Arucas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Arucas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arucas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
15.03.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Arucas	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Arucas - Ibarra	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Arucas - Panadería Pulido	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Tamaraceite - Arucas	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Arucas - Las Palmas B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Estrella CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
07.03.25	Unión Viera - Estrella	0:2 ✺
28.02.25	Estrella - Villa de Santa Brígida	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Estrella - Arcángel San Miguel	2:1 ✺
08.02.25	Estrella - Los Llanos de Aridane	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Panadería Pulido - Estrella	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
08.11.24	Estrella - Arucas	3:2
27.01.23	Arucas - Estrella	2:0
12.10.22	Estrella - Arucas	1:2

Arucas - Estrella: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide