Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 25

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Arucas		Ibarra

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.13	3.2	3.15
	2.11	3.19	3.35
	2.12	3.23	3.27	Watch
	2.1	3.14	3.29
	2.13	3.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.4)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	3.19 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arucas
42.7%

Draw
28.8%

Ibarra
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

29.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

31%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arucas's performance.

Ibarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arucas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibarra than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Arucas - Ibarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arucas won 0.

Arucas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ibarra is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ibarra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Arucas won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.4:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Arucas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arucas CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
21.02.25	Arucas - Panadería Pulido	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Tamaraceite - Arucas	1:0 ✺
07.02.25	Arucas - Las Palmas B	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Arucas - San Bartolomé	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Santa Úrsula - Arucas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLLWL
- UD Ibarra
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
01.03.25	Ibarra - UD San Fernando	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Unión Viera - Ibarra	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Arcángel San Miguel - Ibarra	2:4 ✺
01.02.25	Ibarra - Villa de Santa Brígida	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Ibarra - Los Llanos de Aridane	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
26.10.24	Ibarra - Arucas	2:0
17.04.24	Ibarra - Arucas	1:1
05.11.23	Arucas - Ibarra	2:2
23.04.23	Ibarra - Arucas	1:1
07.01.23	Arucas - Ibarra	1:1
12.06.21	Ibarra - Arucas	0:2
12.05.21	Arucas - Ibarra	3:2

Arucas - Ibarra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide