Match Info

First League - Round 4

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Arys		Astana 2

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.7	2.18
	2.5	3.55	2.14
	2.67	3.92	2.16	Watch
	2.63	3.5	2.15
	2.52	3.8	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (3.37)	3.69 ↓ (4.08)	2.17 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arys
34.6%

Draw
24.2%

Astana 2
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

22.4%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arys's performance.

Astana 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Astana 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Arys - Astana 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Bakirov S. ⚽, Kystaubay A. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Sadouakas M. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Bakirov S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 3 - 1, Kaltanov A. ⚽, Amangeldinov R. (A),

Preview

Astana 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arys won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Arys won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	FC Astana 2	24	10	3	11	42:49	-7	33
9	Arys	24	8	3	13	32:45	-13	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Arys
Kazakh First League
23.04.26	Arys - Shakhter Karagandy	0:6 ✺
16.04.26	Turan Turkistan - Arys	1:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
09.04.26	Arys - Aktobe	0:4 ✺
Kazakh First League
25.10.24	Kaspiy Aktau - Arys	6:1 ✺
17.10.24	Arys - Zhetisay	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLLT
- FC Astana 2
Kazakh First League
23.04.26	Astana 2 - Akademiya Ontustik	1:0 ✺
16.04.26	Jaiyq - Astana 2	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Astana 2 - Aktobe 2	2:2 ✺
31.10.23	Aktobe 2 - Astana 2	4:1 ✺
24.10.23	Astana 2 - Turkistan	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh First League
01.09.23	Astana 2 - Arys	3:0
20.05.23	Arys - Astana 2	3:0

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