Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 14

Date: 3 December 2022, Saturday


	Arzachena		Aprilia

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.1	3.5
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.98	3.11	3.49
	2.05	3.1	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.02)	3.15 ↑ (3.09)	3.63 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arzachena
46.5%

Draw
28.6%

Aprilia
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

28.9%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arzachena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Aprilia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arzachena than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aprilia than the current prediction. (+1%)

Arzachena - Aprilia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs) and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Arzachena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aprilia is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arzachena could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arzachena will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arzachena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Arzachena won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polisportiva Arzachena
Italian Serie D - Group G
20.11.22	Arzachena - Portici	3:0 ✺
13.11.22	Casertana - Arzachena	0:0 ✺
06.11.22	Arzachena - Atletico Uri	0:1 ✺
30.10.22	Sorrento - Arzachena	3:1 ✺
23.10.22	Arzachena - Vis Artena	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTLLW
- Aprilia
Italian Serie D - Group G
27.11.22	Aprilia - Real Monterotondo	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Tivoli Calcio - Aprilia	1:1 ✺
13.11.22	Aprilia - Cassino	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Romana - Aprilia	3:1 ✺
30.10.22	Aprilia - Paganese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
24.04.22	Arzachena - Aprilia	0:1
08.12.21	Aprilia - Arzachena	0:1
12.01.20	Aprilia - Arzachena	1:1
18.09.19	Arzachena - Aprilia	0:1

Arzachena - Aprilia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide