Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Arzachena		Giugliano

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.8	3.25
	2.2	2.65	3.5
	2.13	2.58	3.33
	2.35	2.9	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (3.41)	2.73 ↓ (3.03)	3.31 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arzachena
40.4%

Draw
32.6%

Giugliano
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

29%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

20.3%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arzachena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arzachena's performance.

Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Giugliano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arzachena than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Arzachena - Giugliano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Arzachena in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Giugliano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Giugliano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arzachena will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arzachena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Arzachena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Polisportiva Arzachena
Italian Serie D - Group G
12.02.22	Cynthialbalonga - Arzachena	1:2 ✺
06.02.22	Arzachena - Insieme Formia	1:0 ✺
02.02.22	Vis Artena - Arzachena	1:2 ✺
30.01.22	Lanusei - Arzachena	0:0 ✺
22.12.21	Arzachena - Atletico Uri	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWTW
- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
16.02.22	Giugliano - Cynthialbalonga	0:1 ✺
13.02.22	Giugliano - Nuova Florida	3:0 ✺
06.02.22	Ostia Mare - Giugliano	0:1 ✺
30.01.22	Giugliano - Sassari Torres	1:0 ✺
22.12.21	Cassino - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
10.10.21	Giugliano - Arzachena	4:0
19.05.21	Arzachena - Giugliano	1:0
10.03.21	Giugliano - Arzachena	3:2

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