The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Giugliano 29.4%
Draw 31.1%
Casertana 39.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
25.8%
38.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.4%
24.9%
39.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Giugliano's form might have worsened.
Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
22.2%
77.8%
Giugliano - Casertana Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Casertana will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Casertana: 50.6% โ 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Casertana will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Russo A. (G) 23. Laezza G. 8. De Rosa R. (C) 24. Caldore M. 85. Milan M. 28. Prezioso M. 4. Zammarini R. 37. Acampa D. 10. Borello G. 90. Nepi A. 32. Balde I.
1. De Lucia V. (G) 6. Heinz J. 33. Rocchi G. 13. Bacchetti L. (C) 18. Oukhadda S. 16. Pezzella S. 25. Toscano M. 94. Liotti D. 91. Vano M. 20. Bentivegna A. 90. Casarotto M.
Substitutes
1. Bolletta L. (G) 70. D'Agostino G. 29. Del Fabro D. 17. Esposito G. 26. Forciniti L. 98. La Rocca G. (G) 25. Minei A. 11. Njambe M. 44. Peluso L. 14. Vaglica G.
51. Arzillo V. 29. De Liguori A. 21. Di Tommaso L. 3. Falasca M. 11. Galletta U. 28. Giugno L. 9. Kallon Y. 4. Kontek I. 10. Leone K. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 12. Merolla E. (G) 8. Proia F. 22. Vilardi A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
26', 0 - 1, Heinz J. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Bentivegna A. ⚽,
36', Toscano M. 🟨,
45+5', Vano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Acampa D. ↓, D'Agostino G. ↑,
47', Prezioso M. 🟨,
53', Borello G. ↓, Esposito G. ↑,
53', Prezioso M. ↓, Forciniti L. ↑,
53', Vano M. ↓, Llano Massa M. T. ↑,
55', Toscano M. ↓, Proia F. ↑,
58', Proia F. 🟨,
62', De Rosa R. 🟨,
64', 0 - 3, Bacchetti L. ⚽,
74', Nepi A. ↓, Njambe M. ↑,
74', Milan M. ↓, Minei A. ↑,
77', Bentivegna A. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
83', Rocchi G. 🟨,
90', Heinz J. ↓, Kontek I. ↑,
90', Casarotto M. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
90+3', Caldore M. 🟥,
90+5', Njambe M. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Giugliano has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Casertana is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Casertana might have a minor edge in this game.
We predict that Casertana will win today's game, with odds of 2.25.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Giugliano won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Giugliano won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).