Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 16

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Arzúa		Estradense

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.2	1.83
	3.5	3.3	1.95
	3.79	3.31	1.85
	3.6	3.25	1.93
	3.9	3.32	1.87
	3.5	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	3.28 ↑ (3.05)	1.9 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arzúa
24.7%

Draw
27.6%

Estradense
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

29.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1%

28.4%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arzúa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Estradense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arzúa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estradense than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Arzúa is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Estradense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estradense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arzúa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Arzúa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Arzúa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
07.01.24	Polvorín - Arzúa	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Arzúa - Barbadás	2:0 ✺
03.12.23	Paiosaco - Arzúa	2:1 ✺
26.11.23	Gran Peña - Arzúa	4:1 ✺
19.11.23	Arzúa - Rápido de Bouzas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLL
- CD Estradense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
07.01.24	Estradense - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Rápido de Bouzas - Estradense	0:3 ✺
03.12.23	Estradense - Viveiro	2:2 ✺
25.11.23	Atlético Arteixo - Estradense	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Estradense - Somozas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.02.23	Arzúa - Estradense	1:0
30.10.22	Estradense - Arzúa	2:1
06.02.22	Estradense - Arzúa	1:0
09.10.21	Arzúa - Estradense	0:1

Arzúa - Estradense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide