Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Paiosaco		Arzúa

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.4
	1.7	3.32	4.55
	1.71	3.32	4.56
	1.67	3.48	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.72)	3.36 ↑ (3.31)	4.55 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paiosaco
53.3%

Draw
26.9%

Arzúa
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

27.2%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

21.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paiosaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Arzúa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paiosaco than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paiosaco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arzúa than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arzúa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Paiosaco is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Arzúa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Paiosaco is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paiosaco won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Paiosaco won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Paiosaco
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.11.23	Bergantiños - Paiosaco	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Paiosaco - Gran Peña	0:1 ✺
12.11.23	Arosa - Paiosaco	1:0 ✺
05.11.23	Paiosaco - Rápido de Bouzas	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Paiosaco - Viveiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLTT
- CSD Arzúa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
26.11.23	Gran Peña - Arzúa	4:1 ✺
19.11.23	Arzúa - Rápido de Bouzas	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Viveiro - Arzúa	2:0 ✺
05.11.23	Arzúa - Atlético Arteixo	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Somozas - Arzúa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.02.23	Paiosaco - Arzúa	3:2
02.10.22	Arzúa - Paiosaco	1:2
14.03.21	Paiosaco - Arzúa	2:2
08.12.20	Arzúa - Paiosaco	3:0
22.02.20	Paiosaco - Arzúa	0:3

Paiosaco - Arzúa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide