Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Referee: Marchetti M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	OneFootball TV


	Ascoli		Avellino

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.10	3.20	3.50
	2.05	3.25	3.4	Watch
	2.11	3.3	4.05
	2.08	3.27	3.62	Watch
	2.08	3.15	4
	2.19	3.34	3.37	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.99)	3.26 ↓ (3.35)	3.62 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
45%

Draw
28.9%

Avellino
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.7%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

26.7%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Avellino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Ascoli - Avellino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ascoli will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Avellino will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitale S. (G) 62. Milanese T. 30. Curado M. (C) 33. Rizzo N. 7. Silipo A. 8. Corradini G. 4. Damiani S. 77. Bolsius D. 19. Guiebre A. 99. Brunori M. 15. D'Uffizi S.	50. Martinelli T. (G) 4. Izzo A. (C) 23. Venturi M. 56. Enrici P. 2. Missori F. 8. Di Maggio L. 20. Palumbo M. 39. Besaggio M. 27. Moruzzi B. 9. Cheddira W. 10. Russo R.
Substitutes
13. Acampora G. 9. Chakir M. A. 45. Crespi G. M. (G) 21. De Pieri G. 32. Gattoni F. 35. Gori G. 18. Lo Scalzo L. 3. Nicoletti M. 14. Oliveri A. 11. Perciun S. 27. Ricci M.	30. Adamo E. 18. Berenbruch T. 14. Biasci T. 5. Di Bitonto A. 77. Di Paolo S. 16. Faticanti G. 99. Favilli A. 1. Iannarilli A. (G) 6. Palmiero L. 7. Pandolfi L. 3. Sala M. 24. Sounas D.
Coaches
Tomei F.	Nesta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Di Maggio L. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Russo R. ⚽, Palumbo M. (A),
45+2', Rizzo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Moruzzi B. ↓, Sala M. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Enrici P. (Own goal),
60', Corradini G. 🟨,
66', Bolsius D. ↓, De Pieri G. ↑,
66', Corradini G. ↓, Gori G. ↑,
67', Brunori M. ↓, Oliveri A. ↑,
68', Di Maggio L. ↓, Sounas D. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Silipo A. ⚽, Milanese T. (A),
79', Besaggio M. 🟨,
80', Enrici P. ↓, Biasci T. ↑,
80', Cheddira W. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
81', Milanese T. ↓, Acampora G. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Silipo A. ⚽, Gori G. (A),
88', Silipo A. ↓, Gattoni F. ↑,
88', Besaggio M. ↓, Di Paolo S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ascoli won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ascoli holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Ascoli: Alagna M. (Inactive) Brzan R. (Inactive).

Confirmed absences for Avellino: Favilli A. (Injury) Fila D. (Injury) Simic L. (Injury).

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Ascoli has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 1.5:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ascoli against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 6:5 goals (averaging 2:1.7 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Ascoli: 2.52% Avellino: 1.55%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	7:4	3	10
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	7:6	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie B
12.09.26	Padova - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Ascoli - Benevento	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Ascoli - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Verona - Ascoli	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
16.08.26	Genoa - Ascoli	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWTWL
- US Avellino
Italian Serie B
13.09.26	Avellino - Palermo	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Modena - Avellino	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Avellino - Vicenza Virtus	3:0 ✺
22.08.26	Avellino - Arezzo	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.26	Monza - Avellino	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.05.18	Ascoli - Avellino	1:1
16.12.17	Avellino - Ascoli	1:1
25.04.17	Ascoli - Avellino	2:0
03.12.16	Avellino - Ascoli	1:2
12.03.16	Ascoli - Avellino	3:4
27.10.15	Avellino - Ascoli	3:0

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