The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arezzo 41.4%
Draw 31.1%
Ascoli 27.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
31.8%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
32.8%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Arezzo - Ascoli Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Arezzo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 6. Renzi A. 13. Gilli M. 19. Chiosa M. 37. Righetti S. 8. Eklu S. M. 78. Iaccarino G. 24. Chierico L. 10. Pattarello E. 71. Cianci P. 21. Tavernelli C.
1. Vitale S. (G) 23. Alagna M. 33. Rizzo N. 30. Curado M. 17. Guiebre A. 4. Damiani S. 80. Corradini G. 7. Silipo A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
30. Arena A. 5. Casarosa M. 4. Coppolaro M. 72. Cortesi M. 26. De Col F. 77. Di Chiara G. 12. Galli A. (G) 15. Gigli N. 7. Guccione F. 17. Ionita A. 91. Ravasio M. 1. Trombini L. (G) 11. Varela Djamanca M. 23. Viviani M.
24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 10. Del Sole F. 14. Galuppini F. 19. Menna D. 62. Milanese T. 6. Ndoj E. 11. Oviszach E. 2. Pagliai G. 28. Palazzino F. 60. Zagari R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
30', D'Uffizi S. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Rizzo Pinna A. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Renzi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', Cianci P. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
62', Pattarello E. ↓, Varela Djamanca M. ↑,
71', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
71', Silipo A. ↓, Galuppini F. ↑,
72', Eklu S. M. ↓, Ionita A. ↑,
77', Corradini G. ↓, Milanese T. ↑,
83', Righetti S. 🟨,
83', Chierico L. ↓, Cortesi M. ↑,
83', Renzi A. ↓, Coppolaro M. ↑,
84', Gori G. ↓, Corazza S. ↑,
84', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
85', Curado M. 🟨,
90+10', Gilli M. 🟨,
90+11', 1 - 2, Corazza S. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
Arezzo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Ascoli is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Ascoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Arezzo could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Arezzo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Arezzo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Arezzo - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.23%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.