The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arezzo 27.9%
Draw 28.2%
Ascoli 43.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.4%
29.5%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
29.7%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arezzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arezzo's form might have worsened.
Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ascoli's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arezzo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arezzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ascoli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Arezzo - Ascoli Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 14th and 3rd in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Semi - finals).
Recent results have been tough for Arezzo (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Ascoli shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ascoli could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ascoli holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Arezzo has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:5 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arezzo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Ascoli
9
5
3
1
16:6
10
18
14
Arezzo
9
3
1
5
9:19
-10
10
Outrights of Italian Serie B for now
Ascoli: 2.5% Arezzo: 0.4%
Last Results with these Odds
Ascoli - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.09%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
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