Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 5

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca (Ascoli Piceno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport 254


	Ascoli		Lucchese

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	4.5
	1.72	3.5	4.75
	1.71	3.54	5.05
	1.7	3.58	5.07	Watch
	1.73	3.4	4.2
	1.67	3.5	4.72	Watch
	1.7	3.45	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.74)	3.47 ↑ (3.38)	4.68 ↑ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascoli
53.9%

Draw
26.5%

Lucchese
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

27%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26.2%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The ML Model estimate for Ascoli aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Ascoli - Lucchese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Livieri A. (G) 6. Adjapong C. 2. Curado M. 19. Menna D. 3. Maurizii E. 5. Bertini M. 8. Varone I. 11. Tirelli M. 32. Tremolada L. 10. Marsura D. 18. Corazza S.	22. Palmisani L. (G) 5. Frison F. 33. Sabbione A. 6. Gasbarro A. 14. Quirini E. 31. Catanese G. 24. Welbeck N. 8. Tumbarello G. 29. Antoni E. 19. Fedato F. 70. Saporiti E.
Substitutes
22. Abati L. (G) 70. Achik I. 23. Alagna M. 24. Bando A. 77. Caccavo L. 21. Campagna S. 27. Cozzoli F. 15. D'Uffizi S. 67. Gagliardi M. 28. Gagliolo R. 25. Maiga Silvestri Y. 14. Quaranta D. 99. Raffaelli M. (G) 7. Silipo A. 44. Tavcar A.	12. Allegrucci L. (G) 23. Botrini T. 2. Ciucci D. 1. Coletta J. (G) 7. Djibril M. 4. Dumbravanu D. 30. Gemignani A. 38. Leone M. 9. Magnaghi S. 11. Ndiaye B. 18. Sasanelli L. 10. Selvini A. 21. Visconti E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Fedato F. 🟨,
36', Catanese G. 🟨,
41', Marsura D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', Tremolada L. ↓, Caccavo L. ↑,
61', Tirelli M. ↓, Campagna S. ↑,
68', 0 - 1, Saporiti E. ⚽,
71', Bertini M. ↓, D'Uffizi S. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Corazza S. ⚽,
77', Quirini E. ↓, Gemignani A. ↑,
77', Saporiti E. ↓, Sasanelli L. ↑,
77', Fedato F. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
81', Gasbarro A. 🟨,
85', Catanese G. ↓, Djibril M. ↑,
85', Maurizii E. ↓, Quaranta D. ↑,
85', Adjapong C. ↓, Alagna M. ↑,
86', Quaranta D. 🟨,
90+1', Varone I. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Sasanelli L. ⚽,
90+2', Curado M. 🟨,
90+4', Frison F. 🟥,
90+4', Sasanelli L. ↓, Dumbravanu D. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
90+6', D'Uffizi S. 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ascoli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ascoli have a series of guest games.

In this match Ascoli is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ascoli won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ascoli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
14.09.24	Milan Futuro - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Virtus Entella - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
02.09.24	Ascoli - Pianese	1:0 ✺
23.08.24	SPAL - Ascoli	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
18.08.24	Arezzo - Ascoli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWTL
- AS Lucchese Libertas 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
16.09.24	Lucchese - Rimini	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	SPAL - Lucchese	2:3 ✺
30.08.24	Lucchese - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Pineto - Lucchese	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Pro Vercelli - Lucchese	1:0 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.03.15	Ascoli - Lucchese	3:1
18.10.14	Lucchese - Ascoli	0:2

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