Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Ascó		Girona B

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.1	1.65
	5	2.95	1.64
	5	3.05	1.66
	5.45	3.14	1.64
	4.88	3.2	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (4.98)	3.09 ↑ (2.97)	1.68 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ascó
17.5%

Draw
29%

Girona B
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

29.3%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

23.4%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ascó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Girona B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascó than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Girona B than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Girona B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ascó - Girona B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Ascó has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Girona B is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Girona B is a favorite.

Recent matches Girona B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ascó
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
28.11.21	Manresa - Ascó	2:0 ✺
20.11.21	Ascó - Figueres	0:3 ✺
13.11.21	Vilafranca - Ascó	2:0 ✺
06.11.21	Ascó - Castelldefels	1:3 ✺
31.10.21	Olot - Ascó	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Girona B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
28.11.21	Girona B - Grama	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	San Cristóbal - Girona B	2:1 ✺
14.11.21	Girona B - Pobla de Mafumet	1:0 ✺
31.10.21	Manresa - Girona B	0:0 ✺
24.10.21	Girona B - Figueres	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWTL

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