Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 8

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Aserrí		Escorpiones de Belén

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.6	1.62	Watch
	4.42	4.01	1.68	Watch
	4.5	3.6	1.62
	4.57	3.96	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (3.44)	3.79 ↑ (3.6)	1.64 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aserrí
20.3%

Draw
24%

Escorpiones de Belén
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

25.5%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

25%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aserrí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aserrí's form might have worsened.

Escorpiones de Belén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Escorpiones de Belén's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aserrí than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aserrí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Escorpiones de Belén than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Escorpiones de Belén, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aserrí - Escorpiones de Belén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
58', 0 - 1, ⚽,
67', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aserrí won 1.

In recent matches, Aserrí has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Escorpiones is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Escorpiones may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Escorpiones will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Aserrí won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:34. (average 1:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aserrí won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aserrí FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
18.02.26	Aserrí - Pitbulls	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Carmelita - Aserrí	2:2 ✺
12.02.26	Aserrí - Santa Ana	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Aserrí - Desamparados	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Aserrí	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTTTT
- Escorpiones de Belén
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
14.02.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Desamparados	1:1 ✺
11.02.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Escorpiones de Belén	3:2 ✺
07.02.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Pitbulls	4:0 ✺
03.02.26	Cariari Pococí - Escorpiones de Belén	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Santa Ana - Escorpiones de Belén	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
09.11.25	Aserrí - Escorpiones de Belén	1:3
22.09.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Aserrí	3:1
24.03.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Aserrí	2:0
09.02.25	Aserrí - Escorpiones de Belén	0:1
06.10.24	Aserrí - Escorpiones de Belén	1:0
24.08.24	Escorpiones de Belén - Aserrí	1:1
20.03.24	Escorpiones de Belén - Aserrí	5:0

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