Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday


	Carmelita		Aserrí

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.20	3.20
	2	3.1	3.35	Watch
	2.01	3.35	3.32
	2.07	3.34	3.48	Watch
	1.99	3.1	3.25
	2.06	3.35	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.94)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	3.33 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmelita
44.8%

Draw
27.9%

Aserrí
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27%

25.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmelita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Aserrí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Carmelita - Aserrí Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Carmelita (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Carmelita (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 1 - 1, ⚽,
83', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 1.

Carmelita is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Carmelita won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Carmelita won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
24.08.26	Guadalupe - Carmelita	0:1 ✺
14.08.26	Carmelita - Moravia	1:1 ✺
02.08.26	Uruguay de Coronado - Carmelita	2:2 ✺
30.03.26	Aserrí - Carmelita	0:0 ✺
25.03.26	Carmelita - Desamparados	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTTTT
- Aserrí FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
22.08.26	Aserrí - Pitbulls	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Guadalupe - Aserrí	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Santa Ana - Aserrí	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Aserrí - Cariari Pococí	2:2 ✺
04.04.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Aserrí	8:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
30.03.26	Aserrí - Carmelita	0:0
15.02.26	Carmelita - Aserrí	2:2
02.11.25	Carmelita - Aserrí	1:1
18.09.25	Aserrí - Carmelita	1:0
25.04.22	Aserrí - Carmelita	2:3 ET
19.04.22	Carmelita - Aserrí	1:0

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