Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Ashton United		Cleethorpes Town

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.25	2.15
	2.45	3.20	2.40
	2.91	3.52	2.16
	2.94	3.66	2.19	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.13
	2.91	3.44	2.14
	2.85	3.45	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.96)	3.42 ↓ (3.72)	2.19 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ashton United
32.1%

Draw
26.5%

Cleethorpes Town
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

25%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

24.5%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Cleethorpes Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleethorpes Town than the current prediction. (+3%)

Ashton United - Cleethorpes Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, Hey L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ashton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Ashton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Cleethorpes: 13.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cleethorpes	12	8	3	1	27:7	20	27
14	Ashton Utd	10	3	3	4	12:11	1	12

Last Results with these Odds

Ashton United - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.39%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	Curzon Ashton - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Ashton United - Ilkeston	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Emley - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
18.08.26	Ashton United - Whitby Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLTTW
- Cleethorpes Town
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Cleethorpes Town - Newcastle Town	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Cleethorpes Town	0:3 ✺
28.08.26	Cleethorpes Town - Curzon Ashton	1:3 ✺
25.08.26	Cleethorpes Town - Whitby Town	6:0 ✺
22.08.26	Ilkeston - Cleethorpes Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
14.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Ashton United	2:2
01.11.25	Ashton United - Cleethorpes Town	0:4

Upcoming Matches