The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ashton United 36.9%
Draw 26.5%
Gainsborough Trinity 36.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.5%
26.8%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
26.2%
30%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ashton United's form might have worsened.
Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gainsborough Trinity's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ashton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gainsborough Trinity, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Butroid L. ⚽,
35', 0 - 2, Butroid L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90', 1 - 2, Johnson J. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Ashton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Gainsborough
15
9
1
5
31:20
11
28
17
Ashton Utd
14
3
5
6
17:18
-1
14
Last Results with these Odds
Gainsborough Trinity - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 30.73%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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