Match Info

Date: 14 September 2021, Tuesday


	Ashton United		Grantham Town

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	3.9
	1.64	3.7	4.4
	1.68	3.93	4.62
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.7	3.82	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.92)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	4.29 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
54.2%

Draw
24.6%

Grantham Town
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

25.7%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

20.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ashton United's performance.

Grantham Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ashton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grantham Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Ashton United - Grantham Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Grantham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ashton is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Ashton won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 24-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Ashton won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
11.09.21	Ashton United - Buxton	1:1 ✺
07.09.21	South Shields - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
04.09.21	Ashton United - Hebburn Town	0:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
30.08.21	Stalybridge Celtic - Ashton United	1:0 ✺
28.08.21	Ashton United - Stafford Rangers	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TTLLT
- Grantham Town
English NPL Premier Division
11.09.21	Atherton Collieries - Grantham Town	1:0 ✺
07.09.21	Grantham Town - Mickleover Sports	1:1 ✺
30.08.21	Grantham Town - Basford United	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	South Shields - Grantham Town	4:1 ✺
24.08.21	Hyde United - Grantham Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
01.10.19	Grantham Town - Ashton United	0:4
05.05.18	Ashton United - Grantham Town	2:0
23.12.17	Grantham Town - Ashton United	1:1
19.08.17	Ashton United - Grantham Town	2:1
28.01.17	Grantham Town - Ashton United	2:1
11.10.16	Ashton United - Grantham Town	4:3
23.01.16	Ashton United - Grantham Town	2:0

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