Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 12 December 2023, Tuesday


	Ashton United		Stafford Rangers

	1	X	2
	1.47	4.1	5
	1.52	4.2	5	Watch
	1.49	4.73	5.25
	1.49	4.73	5.25
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.45	4.33	5.5
	1.52	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.37)	4.36 ↓ (4.7)	5.21 ↓ (6.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
61.5%

Draw
21%

Stafford Rangers
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

19.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

18.5%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Stafford Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ashton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stafford Rangers than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Ashton United - Stafford Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ashton will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Stafford will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ashton won 1.

Recent matches Ashton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stafford is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Stafford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ashton have a series of guest games.

In this match Ashton is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Ashton won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Ashton won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
09.12.23	Basford United - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Atherton Collieries - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
21.11.23	Ilkeston - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
14.11.23	Lancaster City - Ashton United	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Marine - Ashton United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTLT
- Stafford Rangers
English NPL Premier Division
09.12.23	Warrington Rylands - Stafford Rangers	7:2 ✺
28.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Atherton Collieries	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Ilkeston - Stafford Rangers	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Stafford Rangers - Brackley Town	0:1 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
14.11.23	Worksop Town - Stafford Rangers	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
14.02.23	Stafford Rangers - Ashton United	1:1
18.10.22	Ashton United - Stafford Rangers	1:1
23.04.22	Stafford Rangers - Ashton United	5:0
28.08.21	Ashton United - Stafford Rangers	0:0
19.09.20	Stafford Rangers - Ashton United	0:1
11.01.20	Ashton United - Stafford Rangers	2:1
10.04.18	Ashton United - Stafford Rangers	1:0

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