Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 22

Date: 18 April 2023, Tuesday


	Ashton United		Liversedge

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.6	3.1
	1.9	3.8	2.9
	1.54	3.85	4.6
	2.24	3.62	2.87
	1.8	3.75	3.6
	1.92	3.78	3.32
	1.9	3.75	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.48)	3.74 ↓ (4.9)	3.38 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
48.5%

Draw
24.4%

Liversedge
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

18.5%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

17.6%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ashton United's form might have worsened.

Liversedge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liversedge's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ashton United than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ashton United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liversedge than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Liversedge, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	6.9%	82.8%

Ashton United - Liversedge Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Ashton will win (votes: 3 - 10.3%). Liversedge will win (votes: 24 - 82.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liversedge: 69.1% – 96.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Ashton is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Liversedge is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Ashton have a series of guest games.

Recently Liversedge have a series of home games.

In this match Ashton is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ashton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
15.04.23	Ashton United - Lancaster City	2:4 ✺
10.04.23	Ashton United - United of Manchester	0:5 ✺
08.04.23	Warrington Town - Ashton United	3:0 ✺
01.04.23	Ashton United - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
25.03.23	Stalybridge Celtic - Ashton United	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLWW
- Liversedge FC
English NPL Premier Division
15.04.23	Guiseley - Liversedge	1:0 ✺
10.04.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Liversedge	4:0 ✺
08.04.23	Liversedge - Radcliffe	1:1 ✺
04.04.23	Liversedge - Lancaster City	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Liversedge - Matlock Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
13.08.22	Liversedge - Ashton United	0:1

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