Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 3

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday


	Ashton United		Stocksbridge Park Steels

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.9	3.6
	1.65	4.05	3.85
	1.68	4.18	3.94
	1.86	3.83	3.63	Watch
	1.8	3.9	3.4
	1.64	3.94	4.26
	1.53	4.5	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.45)	4.04 ↓ (4.45)	3.9 ↓ (5.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ashton United
53.9%

Draw
22.6%

Stocksbridge Park Steels
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

20.4%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ashton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ashton United's form might have worsened.

Stocksbridge Park Steels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stocksbridge Park Steels's recent form is better than expected.

Ashton United - Stocksbridge Park Steels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, Baird S. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Ashton has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ashton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ashton has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ashton is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ashton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ashton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ashton United
English NPL Premier Division
12.08.25	Ashton United - Prescot Cables	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Ashton United	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Ashton United - Marine	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Ashton United - Halifax Town	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Ashton United - Crewe Alexandra	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLTL
- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
12.08.25	Whitby Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Brighouse Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Warrington Rylands	1:2 penalties ✺
07.09.24	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Widnes	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.10.22	Ashington - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
29.03.14	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Ashton United	0:2
12.03.14	Ashton United - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:2
13.04.13	Ashton United - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:3

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