Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 1

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		Ashton United

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.28	3.35	2.68
	2.37	3.41	2.7
	2.35	3.25	2.93	Watch
	2.2	3.5	2.8
	2.31	3.3	2.76
	2.22	3.48	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.21)	3.37 ↓ (3.47)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
39.9%

Draw
27%

Ashton United
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26.1%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Ashton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Gainsborough Trinity - Ashton United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Osei D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
72', 0 - 2, Navarro L. ⚽,
87', 0 - 3, Navarro L. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 2.

Ashton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gainsborough won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gainsborough won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Scunthorpe United	1:0 ✺
15.07.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Grimsby Town	1:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
26.04.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Leek Town	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Guiseley - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Hebburn Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.9 WTWWW
- Ashton United
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Ashton United - Marine	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Ashton United - Halifax Town	0:0 ✺
12.07.25	Ashton United - Crewe Alexandra	0:5 ✺
09.07.25	Ashton United - Salford City	2:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
29.04.25	Worksop Town - Ashton United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
12.04.25	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	0:2
17.08.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Ashton United	0:1
16.03.24	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	2:0
24.10.23	Gainsborough Trinity - Ashton United	2:2
25.02.23	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	2:3
12.11.22	Gainsborough Trinity - Ashton United	2:0
12.03.22	Ashton United - Gainsborough Trinity	2:1

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