Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 - Round 23

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday


	Asteras Stavrou		Lefkimmi

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.7	4.95
	1.7	3.5	4.2
	1.53	3.78	5.47
	1.54	3.66	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.74)	3.66 ↑ (3.53)	4.84 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asteras Stavrou
56.9%

Draw
24.6%

Lefkimmi
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.8%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.4%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asteras Stavrou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Lefkimmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Stavrou than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lefkimmi than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Asteras Stavrou - Lefkimmi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 3 (Winners stage: ) and 8 in the zone Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 3 (Losers stage: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Asteras Stavrou may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Asteras Stavrou is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Asteras Stavrou won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Asteras Stavrou
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
07.02.26	Aris Filiaton - Asteras Stavrou	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Asteras Stavrou - Trikala	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Nea Selefkia - Asteras Stavrou	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Asteras Stavrou - Proodos Rogon	3:2 ✺
07.01.26	Tilikratis - Asteras Stavrou	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWWT
- AE Lefkimmi
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
07.02.26	Lefkimmi - Anagennisi Schimatariou	0:0 ✺
25.01.26	Lefkimmi - Lamia	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Elassona - Lefkimmi	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Aris Filiaton - Lefkimmi	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Lefkimmi - Trikala	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
16.11.25	Lefkimmi - Asteras Stavrou	0:1

Asteras Stavrou - Lefkimmi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide