Match Info

Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Elassona		Lefkimmi

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.3	5.35
	1.58	3.42	5.7
	1.57	3.25	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.42)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	5.46 ↓ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elassona
56.6%

Draw
27%

Lefkimmi
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

25.2%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

24.3%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elassona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elassona's form might have worsened.

Lefkimmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elassona than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elassona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lefkimmi than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Elassona - Lefkimmi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 3 (Winners stage: ) and 8 in the zone Gamma Ethniki ~ Group 3 (Losers stage: )).

Elassona is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lefkimmi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Elassona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Elassona is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Elassona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PO Elassona
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
07.01.26	Elassona - Aris Filiaton	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Anagennisi Arta - Elassona	1:0 ✺
17.12.25	Elassona - Trikala	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Asteras Stavrou - Elassona	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Elassona - Nea Selefkia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WLTWW
- AE Lefkimmi
Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
11.01.26	Aris Filiaton - Lefkimmi	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Lefkimmi - Trikala	4:3 ✺
17.12.25	Lefkimmi - Nea Selefkia	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Proodos Rogon - Lefkimmi	1:0 ✺
30.11.25	Lefkimmi - Thesprotos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Gamma Ethniki - Group 3
19.10.25	Lefkimmi - Elassona	1:0

Elassona - Lefkimmi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide