Match Info

Date: 23 January 2022, Sunday


	Asteras Vlachioti		Athens Kallithea

	1	X	2
	5.25	2.75	1.8
	4.6	2.85	1.85
	4.69	2.59	1.95
	4.6	2.75	1.88
	4.3	2.93	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.69 ↓ (4.86)	2.77 ↓ (2.88)	1.89 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asteras Vlachioti
19.3%

Draw
32.7%

Athens Kallithea
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

31.3%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

25.5%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asteras Vlachioti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Athens Kallithea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asteras Vlachioti than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athens Kallithea than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athens Kallithea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Asteras Vlachioti is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kallithea is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Asteras Vlachioti could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kallithea have a series of home games.

In this match Kallithea is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Asteras Vlachioti won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Asteras Vlachioti won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Asteras Vlachioti
Greek Super League 2
19.01.22	Asteras Vlachioti - Kalamata	0:0 ✺
16.01.22	OF Ierapetra - Asteras Vlachioti	3:1 ✺
22.12.21	AEK B - Asteras Vlachioti	1:0 ✺
19.12.21	Ergotelis - Asteras Vlachioti	0:0 ✺
15.12.21	Asteras Vlachioti - Karaiskakis	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLLTT
- Athens Kallithea
Greek Super League 2
16.01.22	Athens Kallithea - Ergotelis	3:2 ✺
08.01.22	Athens Kallithea - Panathinaikos B	1:0 ✺
29.12.21	Athens Kallithea - AEK B	1:0 ✺
22.12.21	Athens Kallithea - Zakynthos	2:0 ✺
19.12.21	AE Kifisia - Athens Kallithea	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Football League
06.06.21	Athens Kallithea - Asteras Vlachioti	1:0
18.04.21	Asteras Vlachioti - Athens Kallithea	1:2

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