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Current Win Probability
Aston Villa U21 20.8%
Draw 21.8%
Real Sociedad B 57.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
22.4%
48.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.9%
22.1%
48.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aston Villa U21's form might have worsened.
Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad B's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aston Villa U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Sociedad B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Aston Villa U21 - Real Sociedad B Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Telletxea O. ⚽, Eceizabarrena J. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Meade M. ⚽, Brannigan C. (A),
38', 2 - 1, Ropero I. (Own goal),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', McGrath J. (Penalty Awarded),
69', 3 - 1, Blake J. ⚽, Meade M. (A),
72', 4 - 1, Blake J. ⚽, Johnson O. (A),
83', Uranga L. 🟥,
83', 5 - 1, Blake J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Recent form of Aston Villa U21 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Real Sociedad B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Real Sociedad B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Real Sociedad B is seen as the favorite.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Last Results with these Odds
Real Sociedad B - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 48.3%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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