Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 3

Date: 31 August 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Referee: Galech I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
Spain	LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Burgos		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.80	3.25	4.33
	1.92	3.15	4	Watch
	2.04	3.3	4.33
	1.91	3.34	4.37	Watch
	1.98	3.25	4.25
	1.91	3.21	4.58	Watch
	1.95	3.25	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.76)	3.24 ↓ (3.44)	4.29 ↓ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
48.9%

Draw
29.1%

Real Sociedad B
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

27.5%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

27.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Burgos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Burgos - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Real Sociedad B will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 23. Dadie Izagirre A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 3. Vilarrasa I. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 20. Gragera J. 4. Galdames P. 19. Llabres J. 16. Sanchez C. (C) 9. Fores A.	1. Fraga A. (G) 2. Garro J. 3. Balda J. (C) 5. Kita K. 23. Agote U. 8. Aguirre I. 6. Lebarbier A. 7. Diaz D. 16. Gorosabel G. 17. Astiazaran L. 18. Carrera G.
Substitutes
10. Appin K. 17. Cantero M. 18. del Cerro S. 5. Exposito M. 21. Garcia F. 1. Iribarne B. (G) 7. Karrikaburu J. 22. Martinez B. 36. Martinez I. 11. Mollejo V. 31. Ribas I. 37. Torrelavid C. (G)	34. Adjabeng A. 14. Carbonell T. 21. Eceizabarrena J. 13. Folgado T. (G) 26. Isasa B. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 32. Olasagasti L. (G) 20. Osazuwa S. 29. Ropero I. 22. Ruperez I. 19. Soroeta J. 30. Vazquez P.
Coaches
Francisco S.	Ansotegi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Sanchez C. (Penalty Awarded),
30', Astiazaran L. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Carrera G. ⚽, Diaz D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Gonzalez S. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Fores A. ⚽,
61', Llabres J. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
61', Vilarrasa I. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Gorosabel G. ⚽,
68', Fores A. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
70', Diaz D. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
70', Aguirre I. ↓, Carbonell T. ↑,
76', Gragera J. ↓, Exposito M. ↑,
76', Sanchez C. ↓, Karrikaburu J. ↑,
82', Lebarbier A. ↓, Eceizabarrena J. ↑,
82', Gorosabel G. ↓, Adjabeng A. ↑,
84', Balda J. 🟨,
90+3', Carrera G. ↓, Soroeta J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Real Sociedad B has had a series of home games.

In this match, Burgos is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Burgos: Lizancos A. (Knee Injury) Luengo O. (Finger Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 0.6:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.6:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Burgos CF	8	4	2	2	12:9	3	14
18	Real Sociedad B	9	2	2	5	12:17	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
23.08.26	Sporting de Gijón - Burgos	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Burgos - Córdoba	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Burgos - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
29.07.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Burgos	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Burgos - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWT
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
22.08.26	Albacete Balompié - Real Sociedad B	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Real Sociedad B - Castellón	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Real Sociedad B - Huesca	0:2 ✺
29.07.26	Real Sociedad B - Eibar	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Real Sociedad B - Pau	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
18.07.26	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
03.05.26	Real Sociedad B - Burgos	0:0
25.10.25	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	1:0
13.03.22	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	0:0
05.12.21	Real Sociedad B - Burgos	0:1
Club Friendly
31.07.21	Real Sociedad B - Burgos	0:0
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
12.01.20	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	0:2

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