Match Info

Division 2 - Västra Götaland - Round 24

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Astrio		Västra Frölunda

	1	X	2
	5.00	4.40	1.46
	4.6	4.25	1.52
	4.5	4.35	1.6
	5.2	4.66	1.47	Watch
	3.95	4.1	1.58
	4.25	4.49	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.9)	4.38 ↑ (4)	1.54 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Astrio
19.9%

Draw
20.9%

Västra Frölunda
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

21.9%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

20.6%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Astrio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Västra Frölunda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Astrio than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västra Frölunda than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Västra Frölunda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Astrio - Västra Frölunda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Mazreku A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 1 - 1, Baj S. ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 6th).

Astrio is Relegated to.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astrio won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Astrio (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Västra Frölunda have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Astrio could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, Västra Frölunda is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Astrio has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:29 (averaging 2.1:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Astrio against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 13:6 goals (averaging 2.6:1.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Frolunda	24	10	7	7	45:39	6	37
14	Astrio ✔	24	2	4	18	22:57	-35	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Astrio
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
26.09.26	Galtabäcks - Astrio	3:6 ✺
19.09.26	Astrio - Onsala	0:2 ✺
12.09.26	Kongahälla - Astrio	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	Astrio - Åstorps	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	Jonsereds - Astrio	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLLLL
- Västra Frölunda IF
Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
27.09.26	Västra Frölunda - Åstorps	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Galtabäcks - Västra Frölunda	4:1 ✺
11.09.26	Dalstorps - Västra Frölunda	3:0 ✺
05.09.26	Västra Frölunda - Onsala	3:1 ✺
28.08.26	Lindome - Västra Frölunda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Västra Götaland
09.05.26	Västra Frölunda - Astrio	5:3
27.09.25	Västra Frölunda - Astrio	5:1
06.06.25	Astrio - Västra Frölunda	1:1
06.10.24	Astrio - Västra Frölunda	5:1
20.06.24	Västra Frölunda - Astrio	4:3
23.09.23	Västra Frölunda - Astrio	1:0
03.06.23	Astrio - Västra Frölunda	0:1

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