Match Info

Division 2 A - Round 11

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Aswan Stadium (Aswan)


	Aswan		Abu Qir Fertilizers

	1	X	2
	4.82	2.6	1.98
	5.33	2.54	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.08 ↓ (5.28)	2.57 ↓ (2.65)	1.97 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aswan
18%

Draw
35.6%

Abu Qir Fertilizers
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.4%

34.7%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17%

33.9%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aswan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Abu Qir Fertilizers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Abu Qir Fertilizers than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Aswan - Abu Qir Fertilizers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): -1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Ragab M. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Gaber I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
70', 1 - 2, Adham A. ⚽,
88', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Aswan is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Abu Qir Fertilizers has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Abu Qir Fertilizers is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Aswan won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Aswan won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aswan SC
Egyptian Division 2 A
23.10.25	Tanta - Aswan	0:1 ✺
16.10.25	Aswan - Asyut Petroleum	0:1 ✺
09.10.25	El Mansoura - Aswan	1:0 ✺
02.10.25	Aswan - Ghazl Kafr El Dawar	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Tersana - Aswan	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLTL
- Abu Qir Fertilizers SC
Egyptian Division 2 A
23.10.25	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	0:1 ✺
16.10.25	El Dakhleya - Abu Qir Fertilizers	0:1 ✺
09.10.25	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Olympic El Qanah	1:0 ✺
02.10.25	Masar - Abu Qir Fertilizers	1:1 ✺
25.09.25	Abu Qir Fertilizers - El Sekka El Hadid	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Division 2 A
31.05.25	Abu Qir Fertilizers - Aswan	2:0
26.01.25	Aswan - Abu Qir Fertilizers	1:1
13.02.24	Aswan - Abu Qir Fertilizers	0:0
20.11.23	Aswan - Abu Qir Fertilizers	0:0

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