Match Info

Division 2 A - Round 25

Date: 6 March 2026, Friday

Location: Aswan Stadium (Aswan)


	Aswan		El Mansoura

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.45	3.7
	2.42	2.42	4.17
	2.41	2.37	3.91
	2.3	2.4	3.7
	2.48	2.61	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (3.1)	2.45 ↓ (2.69)	3.8 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aswan
38.6%

Draw
37.4%

El Mansoura
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

34%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

33.5%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aswan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aswan's performance.

El Mansoura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Mansoura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aswan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Mansoura than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that El Mansoura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Aswan - El Mansoura Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aswan will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Aswan (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aswan (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
69', 🟥,
83', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Aswan has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

El Mansoura has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aswan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aswan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Aswan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	El Mansoura	7	3	2	2	8:7	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aswan SC
Egyptian Division 2 A
27.02.26	Ghazl Kafr El Dawar - Aswan	2:0 ✺
12.02.26	Aswan - Tersana	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	La Viena - Aswan	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Aswan - WE SC	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Dayrout - Aswan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLT
- El Mansoura SC
Egyptian Division 2 A
26.02.26	El Mansoura - Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	0:0 ✺
13.02.26	El Dakhleya - El Mansoura	0:1 ✺
05.02.26	El Mansoura - Olympic El Qanah	0:0 ✺
30.01.26	Masar - El Mansoura	0:2 ✺
22.01.26	El Mansoura - El Sekka El Hadid	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Division 2 A
09.10.25	El Mansoura - Aswan	1:0
30.04.25	Aswan - El Mansoura	1:2
23.12.24	El Mansoura - Aswan	0:0

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