Match Info

Division 2 A - Round 23

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Aswan Stadium (Aswan)


	Aswan		Tersana

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.22	2.98
	3.21	2.52	3.13
	3.04	2.35	2.95
	2.84	2.51	2.76
	2.9	2.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.9)	2.42 ↓ (2.49)	2.94 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aswan
30.6%

Draw
38.1%

Tersana
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

36.6%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

35.5%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aswan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Tersana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aswan than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tersana than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Aswan - Tersana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 12)

Aswan is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Tersana has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aswan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Aswan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tersana	7	3	3	1	6:5	1	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aswan SC
Egyptian Division 2 A
06.02.26	La Viena - Aswan	1:0 ✺
30.01.26	Aswan - WE SC	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Dayrout - Aswan	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Aswan - Proxy	0:3 ✺
09.01.26	Baladeyet El Mahalla - Aswan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL
- Tersana SC
Egyptian Division 2 A
05.02.26	Tersana - Maleyat Kafr El Zayat	0:0 ✺
29.01.26	El Dakhleya - Tersana	0:0 ✺
22.01.26	Tersana - Olympic El Qanah	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Masar - Tersana	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Tersana - El Sekka El Hadid	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Egyptian Division 2 A
26.09.25	Tersana - Aswan	1:0
16.02.25	Aswan - Tersana	2:0
21.10.24	Tersana - Aswan	0:1

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